Emmy Predictions 2016 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series?

From June 13 to June 27, voting is taking place for The 68th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. To add to the excitement of the past year in television, I'm providing analysis on which shows and performers are likely to get nominated this year. Next up is Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series.

2015 Nominees:
        Mayim Bialik for CBS' The Big Bang Theory
        Julie Bowen for ABC's Modern Family
        Anna Chlumsky for HBO's Veep
        Gaby Hoffmann for Amazon's Transparent
        Allison Janney for CBS' Mom (WINNER)
        Jane Krakowski for Netflix's Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
        Kate McKinnon for NBC's Saturday Night Live
        Niecy Nash for HBO's Getting On

It was so noteworthy and strange to see eight nominees in this category last year. It shows just how tight this race actually is. The two percent rule went into effect when two nominees were close to the tally of the sixth nominee. And now, all eight contenders are eligible once again. All of them have solid chances of being nominated again as well. Allison Janney, Anna Chlumsky and Kate McKinnon are pretty much locks. Meanwhile, Jane Krakowski and Gaby Hoffmann had strong seasons on their respective shows. They could be vulnerable especially if the voters want fresh blood in the race. This could also be the year where Julie Bowen and Mayim Bialik are pushed out of the race. Niecy Nash was a peculiar nomination last year especially for such a niche show. She broke in once. I doubt it happens again despite a likely final season bump. On top of all of this, the ensembles from Transparent, Saturday Night Live, Master of None, The Ranch and The Last Man on Earth are contenders as well. Plus, Emmy winners Carol Kane and Loretta Devine can't be discredited either. This could be a category filled with repeat nominations or it could be one of unexpected surprises.

So now, here's my thoughts on the actors most likely to be nominated for Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series:

1. Allison Janney for CBS' Mom
2. Anna Chlumsky for HBO's Veep
3. Kate McKinnon for NBC's Saturday Night Live
4. Jane Krakowski for Netflix's Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
5. Gaby Hoffmann for Amazon's Transparent
6. Mayim Bialik for CBS' The Big Bang Theory

And now, for some serious threats that could break into the list:

1. Julie Bowen and Sofia Vergara for ABC's Modern Family
2. Niecy Nash for HBO's Getting On
3. Judith Light, Cherry Jones, Amy Landecker, Kathryn Hahn and Hari Nef for Amazon's Transparent
4. Carol Kane for Netflix's Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
5. Loretta Devine for NBC's The Carmichael Show
6. Debra Winger and Elisha Cuthbert for Netflix's The Ranch
7. Leslie Jones, Vanessa Bayer, Aidy Bryant and Cecily Strong for NBC's Saturday Night Live
8. Kristen Schaal, Mary Steenburgen, January Jones and Cleopatra Coleman for FOX's The Last Man on Earth
9. Noël Wells and Lena Waithe for Netflix's Master of None
10. Jenifer Lewis for ABC's black-ish
11. Sufe Bradshaw and Sarah Sutherland for HBO's Veep
12. Amy Poehler, Kristen Wiig, Elizabeth Banks, Janeane Garofalo, Molly Shannon, Michaela Watkins and Lake Bell for Netflix's Wet Hot American Summer: First Day of Camp
13. Zosia Mamet, Jemima Kirke and Allison Williams for HBO's Girls
14. Natalie Zea for TBS' The Detour

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Dianne Wiest, Betsy Brandt, Zoe Lister-Jones and Angelique Cabral for CBS' Life in Pieces
2. Frances Conroy, Eliza Coupe and Tara Lynne Barr for Hulu's Casual
3. Bernadette Peters, Saffron Burrows, Debra Monk and Gretchen Mol for Amazon's Mozart in the Jungle
4. Jennifer Grey for Amazon's Red Oaks
5. Jacki Weaver for Starz's Blunt Talk
6. Lea Michele, Abigail Breslin, Keke Palmer and Skyler Samuels for FOX's Scream Queens
7. Andrea Navedo, Ivonne Coll and Yael Grobglas for The CW's Jane the Virgin
8. Kether Donohue for FXX's You're the Worst
9. Melissa Fumero, Stephanie Beatriz and Chelsea Peretti for FOX's Brooklyn Nine-Nine
10. Kaley Cuoco and Melissa Rauch for CBS' The Big Bang Theory
11. Donna Lynne Champlin for The CW's Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
12. Kristen Bell for Showtime's House of Lies
13. Emily Robinson, Alexandra Billings, Carrie Brownstein and Trace Lysette for Amazon's Transparent
14. Alex Borstein for HBO's Getting On
15. Hilary Duff for TV Land's Younger
16. Eden Sher for ABC's The Middle
17. Andrea Martin for Hulu's Difficult People
18. Melanie Lynskey and Amanda Peet for HBO's Togetherness

And now, just some colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. Suzanne Cryer and Amanda Crew for HBO's Silicon Valley
2. Christina Hendricks for Comedy Central's Another Period
3. Ana Gasteyer and Mo Collins for Netflix's Lady Dynamite
4. Jessica St. Clair for Comedy Central's Review
5. Lucy Lawless for Starz's Ash vs. Evil Dead
6. Andrée Vermeulen for TBS' Angie Tribeca
7. Emma Kenney for Showtime's Shameless
8. Tichina Arnold, Erica Ash and Teyonah Parris for Starz's Survivor's Remorse
9. Claudia O'Doherty for Netflix's Love
10. Sharon Horgan for IFC's Todd Margaret
11. Martha Kelly for FX's Baskets
12. Britt Lower for FXX's Man Seeking Woman
13. Megan Mullally for NBC's You, Me and the Apocalypse
14. Evan Rachel Wood for HBO's Doll & Em

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!