Emmy Predictions 2021 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Lead Actress in a Drama Series?

From June 17-28, 2021, voting is taking place for The 73rd Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, these are my predictions for who will be nominated for Lead Actress in a Drama Series.

For Lead Actress in a Drama Series, 100 actresses were submitted for consideration. That will result in six nominees in this category when the nominations are announced on Tuesday, July 13.

Actresses most likely to be nominated:

1. Emma Corrin for Netflix's The Crown
2. Olivia Colman for Netflix's The Crown
3. Uzo Aduba for HBO's In Treatment
4. Jurnee Smollett for HBO's Lovecraft Country
5. Elisabeth Moss for Hulu's The Handmaid's Tale
6. Phoebe Dynevor for Netflix's Bridgerton

Serious threats that could break through:

1. Mj Rodriguez for FX's Pose
2. Sarah Paulson for Netflix's Ratched
3. Mandy Moore for NBC's This Is Us
4. Melissa George for AppleTV+'s The Mosquito Coast
5. Aya Cash and Erin Moriarty for Amazon's The Boys
6. Brandee Evans and Elarica Johnson for Starz's P-Valley
7. Myha'la Herrold for HBO's Industry

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Rebecca Breeds for CBS' Clarice
2. Laura Donnelly and Ann Skelly for HBO's The Nevers
3. Dakota Fanning for TNT's The Alienist: Angel of Darkness
4. Amanda Collin for HBO Max's Raised by Wolves
5. Jennifer Connelly for TNT's Snowpiercer
6. Hilary Swank for Netflix's Away
7. Kylie Bunbury and Katheryn Winnick for ABC's Big Sky
8. Queen Latifah for CBS' The Equalizer
9. Jessie Mei Li for Netflix's Shadow and Bone
10. Dafne Keen for HBO's His Dark Materials
11. Naturi Naughton for Starz's Power Book II: Ghost
12. Audra McDonald and Taylor Schilling for Spectrum's The Bite

Colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. Mariska Hargitay for NBC's Law & Order: SVU
2. Christian Serratos for Netflix's Selena: The Series
3. Leslie Bibb for Netflix's Jupiter's Legacy
4. Olivia Cheng and Dianne Doan for Cinemax's Warrior
5. Sonequa Martin-Green for CBS All Access' Star Trek: Discovery
6. Javicia Leslie for The CW's Batwoman
7. Lauren Ambrose for AppleTV+'s Servant
8. Amy Brenneman and Lily Rabe for Amazon's Tell Me Your Secrets
9. Katherine Heigl for Netflix's Firefly Lane

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!