Emmy Predictions 2022 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie?

From June 16-27, 2022, voting took place for The 74th Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, these are my predictions for which performers will be nominated for Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie.

Performers most likely to be nominated:

1. Murray Bartlett for HBO's The White Lotus
2. Naveen Andrews for Hulu's The Dropout
3. Peter Sarsgaard for Hulu's Dopesick
4. Michael Stuhlbarg for Hulu's Dopesick
5. Steve Zahn for HBO's The White Lotus
6. Gil Birmingham for FX's Under the Banner of Heaven

Serious threats who could break through:

1. Will Poulter and John Hoogenakker for Hulu's Dopesick
2. Jake Lacy and Fred Hechinger for HBO's The White Lotus
3. Nick Robinson for Netflix's Maid
4. William H. Macy, Stephen Fry, Sam Waterston, Dylan Minnette, Alan Ruck, Utkarsh Ambudkar, Amir Arison and Michel Gill for Hulu's The Dropout
5. Michael Stuhlbarg, Dane DeHaan, Patrick Schwarzenegger, Tim Guinee and Vincent Vermignon for HBO Max's The Staircase
6. Wyatt Russell, Sam Worthington, Rory Culkin, Billy Howle, Seth Numrich, Scott Michael Campbell and Andrew Burnap for FX's Under the Banner of Heaven
7. Shea Whigham, Dan Stevens and Patrick Walker for Starz's Gaslit
8. Colton Ryan and Kai Lennox for Hulu's The Girl From Plainville
9. Aaron Eckhart, Kiefer Sutherland and O-T Fagbenle for Showtime's The First Lady
10. Seth Rogen, Nick Offerman and Paul Ben-Victor for Hulu's Pam & Tommy
11. Clive Owen, Dan Bakkedahl, Billy Eichner, Colin Hanks, Taran Killam, Danny Jacobs and Darren Goldstein for FX's Impeachment: American Crime Story
12. Kyle Chandler and Jon Bass for Showtime's Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber
13. O-T Fagbenle and Kyle Marvin for AppleTV+'s WeCrashed
14. Evan Peters, Denis O'Hare, Finn Wittrock, Neal McDonough, Macaulay Culkin, Nico Greetham and Isaac Cole Powell for FX's American Horror Story: Double Feature

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Tim McGraw, LaMonica Garrett, Tokala Black Elk, James Landry Hébert, Eric Nelsen, Audie Rick, Marc Rissmann and Martin Sensmeier for Paramount+'s 1883
2. Gael García Bernal and Daniel Zovatto for HBO Max's Station Eleven
3. Clive Owen, Ron Cephas Jones and Dane DeHaan for AppleTV+'s Lisey's Story
4. Zach Gilford for Netflix's Midnight Mass
5. Matthew Goode, Giovanni Ribisi, Dan Fogler, Justin Chambers, Colin Hanks, Patrick Gallo, Burn Gorman and Anthony Ippolito for Paramount+'s The Offer
6. Ethan Hawke for Disney+'s Moon Knight
7. Peter Sarsgaard, Danny DeVito, John Leguizamo and Billy Magnussen for HBO's The Survivor
8. Josh Charles, Jamie Hector, McKinley Belcher III, Darrell Britt-Gibson, Rob Brown and Don Harvey for HBO's We Own This City
9. Frank Dillane for AppleTV+'s The Essex Serpent
10. Walton Goggins, Damon Gupton and Omar Benson Miller for AppleTV+'s The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey
11. Timothy Simons, Pablo Schreiber and Raúl Esparza for Hulu's Candy
12. Christian Slater and Dominic Burgess for Peacock's Dr. Death
13. Ben Radcliffe and Jason McGuire for Netflix's Anatomy of a Scandal
14. Jon Voight, Eddie Marsan, Pooch Hall and Dash Mihok for Showtime's Ray Donovan: The Movie

Colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. Hugh Dancy, Alfred Molina, Jake Johnson, Daniel Dae Kim, Christopher Lowell, Simon Baker, Griffin Matthews, Bernard White and Justin Kirk for AppleTV+'s Roar
2. Benjamin Bratt, Freddy Miyares, Hoon Lee and Jordan Preston Carter for HBO Max's DMZ
3. Martin Freeman and Hamish Linklater for Peacock's Angelyne
4. Jeff Perry, Anders Holm, Arian Moayed and Terry Kinney for Netflix's Inventing Anna
5. Josh Duhamel, Glenn Fleshler, Mac Brandt and Sean Bridgers for NBC's The Thing About Pam
6. Wesley Snipes, Theo Rossi, Billy Zane, Paul Adelstein and Will Catlett for Netflix's True Story
7. Nick Offerman for Netflix's Colin in Black & White
8. David Oyelowo for HBO Max's The Girl Before
9. Glynn Turman, Ray Fisher, Cedric Joe, Chris Coy and Carter Jenkins for ABC's Women of the Movement
10. Skylar Astin, Alex Newell and John Clarence Stewart for Roku's Zoey's Extraordinary Christmas
11. Will Arnett and Snoop Dogg for ABC's Live in Front of a Studio Audience: The Facts of Life & Diff'rent Strokes
12. Kyle MacLachlan, William Fichtner, Dean Winters, Sam Keeley, Nat Wolff and Brian Van Holt for Peacock's Joe vs. Carole
13. Joe Alwyn for Hulu's Conversations With Friends
14. Michael Ealy for Netflix's The Woman in the House Across the Street From the Girl in the Window

The nominations for The 74th Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced on Tuesday, July 12.