Emmy Predictions 2023 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie?

From June 15 to 26, 2023, voting took place for The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, these are my predictions for which performers will be nominated for Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie.

Performers most likely to be nominated:

1. Evan Peters for Netflix's Dahmer - Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
2. Taron Egerton for AppleTV+'s Black Bird
3. Steven Yeun for Netflix's Beef
4. Daniel Radcliffe for Roku's Weird: The Al Yankovic Story
5. Steve Carell for FX's The Patient
6. Michael Shannon for Showtime's George & Tammy

Serious threats that could break through:

1. Jesse Eisenberg for FX's Fleishman Is in Trouble
2. Ben Whishaw for AMC+'s This Is Going to Hurt
3. Woody Harrelson for HBO's White House Plumbers
4. Ewan McGregor for Disney+'s Obi-Wan Kenobi
5. Sam Claflin for Amazon's Daisy Jones & the Six
6. Joe Cole for National Geographic's A Small Light
7. Bobby Cannavale for Netflix's The Watcher
8. Joel Kim Booster for Hulu's Fire Island
9. Paul T. Goldman for Peacock's Paul T. Goldman
10. Kumail Nanjiani for Hulu's Welcome to Chippendales
11. Chaske Spencer for Amazon's The English

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Alexander Skarsgård for IFC's Documentary Now!
2. Bryan Cranston for Paramount+'s Jerry & Marge Go Large
3. Damian Lewis for MGM+'s A Spy Among Friends
4. Joe Mantello and Russell Tovey for FX's American Horror Story: NYC
5. Jake Lacy for Peacock's A Friend of the Family
6. F. Murray Abraham, Ben Barnes, Crispin Glover, Rupert Grint, David Hewlett, Andrew Lincoln, Tim Blake Nelson and Peter Weller for Netflix's Guillermo del Toro's Cabinet of Curiosities
7. Trevante Rhodes for Hulu's Mike
8. Thomas Lennon for Comedy Central's Reno 911! It's a Wonderful Heist
9. Terrence Howard, Harold Perrineau and Taye Diggs for Peacock's The Best Man: The Final Chapters
10. Cory Michael Smith and Lucas Englander for Netflix's Transatlantic
11. Fionn Whitehead for FX's Great Expectations

Colorful oddities that still have an outside chance:

1. Michael Chiklis, Keith Carradine, Ian Anthony Dale, J. Harrison Ghee, Jason Ritter and Malcolm-Jamal Warner for FOX's Accused
2. Edgar Ramírez for Netflix's Florida Man
3. Ben Platt for Amazon's The People We Hate at the Wedding
4. Pete Davidson for Peacock's Meet Cute
5. Josh Duhamel for Amazon's Shotgun Wedding
6. Matt Bomer for Netflix's Echoes
7. Giancarlo Esposito for Netflix's Kaleidoscope
8. Matthew Fox for Peacock's Last Light
9. Eugenio Mastrandrea for Netflix's From Scratch
10. Laurence O'Fuarain for Netflix's The Witcher: Blood Origin
11. Max Irons for Lifetime's Flowers in the Attic: The Origin

The nominations for The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced on Wednesday, July 12.