Emmy Predictions 2023 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Supporting Actor in a Drama Series?

From June 15 to 26, 2023, voting is taking place for The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, these are my predictions for which performers will be nominated for Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.

Performers most likely to be nominated:

1. Matthew Macfadyen for HBO's Succession
2. Nicholas Braun for HBO's Succession
3. Alexander Skarsgård for HBO's Succession
4. F. Murray Abraham for HBO's The White Lotus
5. Giancarlo Esposito for AMC's Better Call Saul
6. Matt Smith for HBO's House of the Dragon
7. John Lithgow for FX's The Old Man
8. Alan Ruck for HBO's Succession

Serious threats that could break through:

1. Michael Imperioli, Will Sharpe, Tom Hollander, Theo James, Leo Woodall and Adam DiMarco for HBO's The White Lotus
2. Jonathan Pryce, Jonny Lee Miller and Salim Daw for Netflix's The Crown
3. Bradley Whitford, O-T Fagbenle, Sam Jaeger and Max Minghella for Hulu's The Handmaid's Tale
4. Stellan Skarsgård and Kyle Soller for Disney+'s Andor
5. Jonathan Banks and Pat Healy for AMC's Better Call Saul
6. Elijah Wood, Warren Kole, Kevin Alves and Steven Krueger for Showtime's Yellowjackets
7. Rhys Ifans, Steve Toussaint and Fabien Frankel for HBO's House of the Dragon
8. Rufus Sewell, Rory Kinnear, Ato Essandoh and David Gyasi for Netflix's The Diplomat
9. Carl Weathers for Disney+'s The Mandalorian
10. Timothy Dalton, Robert Patrick, Jerome Flynn, Darren Mann, Brandon Sklenar, Sebastian Roché and Brian Geraghty for Paramount+'s 1923
11. Cole Hauser, Wes Bentley, Luke Grimes, Gil Birmingham, Mo Brings Plenty and Josh Lucas for Paramount Network's Yellowstone
12. Brent Spiner, Michael Dorn, LeVar Burton, Jonathan Frakes, Ed Speleers and Todd Stashwick for Paramount+'s Star Trek: Picard
13. Sam Clemmett, Freddie Dennis and Hugh Sachs for Netflix's Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story
14. Paul Raci, Shea Whigham, Chris Chalk, Eric Lange and Justin Kirk for HBO's Perry Mason

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Andre Braugher, John Slattery, Nyambi Nyambi and Michael Boatman for Paramount+'s The Good Fight
2. Owain Arthur and Ismael Cruz Córdova for Amazon's The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power
3. Claes Bang, Brian Gleeson, Assaad Bouab and Daryl McCormack for AppleTV+'s Bad Sisters
4. Jensen Ackles, Chace Crawford, Jessie T. Usher, Laz Alonso and Tomer Capone for Amazon's The Boys
5. Jeffrey Wright and Ed Harris for HBO's Westworld
6. Michael Stuhlbarg and Isiah Whitlock Jr. for Showtime's Your Honor
7. D.B. Woodside and Christopher Shyer for Netflix's The Night Agent
8. Stanley Tucci for Amazon's Citadel
9. Sam Reid for AMC's Interview With the Vampire
10. Joel Kinnaman, Edi Gathegi, Nate Corddry and Piotr Adamczyk for AppleTV+'s For All Mankind
11. John Leguizamo, David Costabile, Michael Luwoye, Michael Cassidy and John Hoogenakker for Showtime's Waco: The Aftermath
12. Kiowa Gordon for AMC's Dark Winds
13. Harry Hamlin, Jack Huston and Tongayi Chirisa for AMC's Mayfair Witches
14. Ken Leung and Harry Lawtey for HBO's Industry
15. Oliver Jackson-Cohen, Stephan James and François Arnaud for AppleTV+'s Surface

Colorful oddities that still have an outside chance:

1. J. Alphonse Nicholson and John Clarence Stewart for Starz's P-Valley
2. Toby Huss, Reno Wilson and Brian Goodman for Paramount+'s Fatal Attraction
3. James McAvoy for HBO's His Dark Materials
4. Josh Charles and John Leguizamo for Amazon's The Power
5. Michael Emerson, Aasif Mandvi, Brian D'Arcy James and Kurt Fuller for Paramount+'s Evil
6. Wendell Pierce and Michael Kelly for Amazon's Jack Ryan
7. Boyd Holbrook for Netflix's The Sandman
8. Charles Dance for Paramount+'s Rabbit Hole
9. Ed Speleers and Lukas Gage for Netflix's You
10. Taylor Kitsch and JD Pardo for Amazon's The Terminal List
11. Kyle Bornheimer for Freevee's High School

The nominations for The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced on Wednesday, July 12.