Emmy Predictions 2024 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie?

From June 13 to 24, 2024, voting took place for The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, these are my predictions for which performers will be nominated for Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie.

Performers most likely to be nominated:

1. Jon Hamm for FX's Fargo
2. Andrew Scott for Netflix's Ripley
3. Richard Gadd for Netflix's Baby Reindeer
4. Matt Bomer for Showtime's Fellow Travelers
5. Tom Hollander for FX's Feud: Capote vs. The Swans
6. Tony Shalhoub for Peacock's Mr. Monk's Last Case: A Monk Movie

Serious threats that could break through:

1. David Oyelowo for Paramount+'s Lawmen: Bass Reeves
2. Austin Butler and Callum Turner for AppleTV+'s Masters of the Air
3. Michael Douglas for AppleTV+'s Franklin
4. Jeff Daniels for Netflix's A Man in Full
5. Ewan McGregor for Showtime's A Gentleman in Moscow
6. Hoa Xuande for HBO's The Sympathizer
7. Tobias Menzies and Anthony Boyle for AppleTV+'s Manhunt
8. Benedict Cumberbatch for Netflix's Eric
9. Matthew Broderick for Netflix's Painkiller
10. Matthias Schoenaerts for HBO's The Regime

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Kiefer Sutherland for Showtime's The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
2. Aaron Paul for Netflix's Black Mirror
3. Clive Owen for AMC's Monsieur Spade
4. Sam Neill for Peacock's Apples Never Fall
5. Nicholas Galitzine for Starz's Mary & George
6. Bruce Greenwood, Mark Hamill and Carl Lumbly for Netflix's The Fall of the House of Usher
7. Matt Czuchry for FX's American Horror Story: Delicate
8. Nicholas Galitzine and Taylor Zakhar Perez for Amazon's Red, White and Royal Blue
9. Logan Lerman for Hulu's We Were the Lucky Ones
10. Kelvin Harrison Jr. and Aaron Pierre for National Geographic's Genius: MLK/X

Colorful oddities that still have an outside chance:

1. Jerry Seinfeld for Netflix's Unfrosted
2. Domhnall Gleeson for PBS' Alice & Jack
3. Courtney B. Vance for Showtime's Heist 88
4. Edgar Ramírez for Peacock's Dr. Death
5. Leo Woodall for Netflix's One Day
6. Colin Woodell for Peacock's The Continental
7. Louis Hofmann for Netflix's All the Light We Cannot See
8. Jonah Hauer-King for Peacock's The Tattooist of Auschwitz
9. Brian Tyree Henry for FX's Class of '09
10. Tom Holland for AppleTV+'s The Crowded Room

The nominations for The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced on Wednesday, July 17.